How to Mitigate Nuclear Weapons Effects

For an excellent talk about radiation and other effects of nuclear weapons, go to the TACDA (The American Civil Defense Association) presentation on YouTube by Sharron Packer.

And to best prepare yourself and your family to handle a nuclear event, I highly recommend you go to our TACDA (The American Civil Defense Association) Survival Store and get the items below.

More important, go to our archives and read our extensive collection of courses on nuclear and other disasters. It is your experience, brain, creativity, resourcefulness, grit, skill stack and knowledge that get you through a natural or manmade disaster. So bone up on your skills while also purchasing these items as a way of ensuring your survival and that of your family.

But you should buy and have on hand, at a minimum, the following TACDA items.

EMP Resistant Waterproof USB Drive to keep your essential data safe. Most small businesses go out of business after a fire or flood from loss of data, not the event. About 5% of the memory is our disaster preparation course work, so you can study up on that area. The other 95% is for you to back up your family and business data.

The Communist Chinese Party and the Chinese People Liberation's Army have been very open their plans to take down the United States via a cyber war. That war has been ongoing for approximately 20 years. Back up your data daily to ensure you can start over quickly after a major cyber or EMP attack. Even if that never happens, you have a device to store your data to start over after a major disaster event.

K-103 or Potassium Iodate to protect your thyroid from nuclear fallout absorption in your body. We have had to restock our supply multiple times, so be patient if you cannot get it delivered immediately. 

It is worth buying ours and not the cheap Chinese CCP knock off product. So many in California bought that sawdust when they were worried about the Fukishima cloud fallout.

WaterBricks are essential to keep enough clean, safe drinking and sanitary needs water available for the long term. Most means of storing water, like the milk cartons people recyle, are not safe of sanitary as bacteria grows in them. WaterBricks, in contrast, keep your water safe until you need it. 

Full Disclosure: I am the volunteer Vice President and have been writing civil defense articles for their Journal of Civil Defense for 15 years.

NOTE: Burns are the most far-reaching of any of the immediate nuclear weapons effects. Thermal radiation can cause burns through absorption of the energy by the skin, or by ignition of clothing as a result of fires started by the radiation. So stock up on burn treatment supplies. North American Rescue is your best source for burn treatment supplies.

Introduction

It's just regular science, not rocket science, and it is easy to learn again if we have the will to survive.

The energy characteristics and output from nuclear weapons differ significantly from conventional weapons.  Nuclear detonations exhibit much higher temperature within the fireball and produce peak temperatures of several hundred million degrees and intense x-ray heating that results in air pressure pulses of several million atmospheres. Conventional chemical explosions result in much lower temperatures and release the bulk of their energy as air blast and shock waves. 

In an atmospheric detonation, such as was deployed in Japan, it is the blast and thermal component of the nuclear explosion that is the major factor in destruction and death, not nuclear radiation, as the public believes.  The effective range of immediate harm to humans from nuclear radiation from the atmospheric explosion is much less than the effective range from blast and thermal heating. 

In order to limit the discussion of weapons effects to elementary terms, this discussion is based upon a single worst-case scenario. Probably the largest weapon that might be employed against a population would have a yield of less than one-megaton (or 1 million tons of TNT equivalent energy or simply 1 MT). However, a crude terrorist nuclear device would probably be in the range of a few thousand tons of TNT equivalent energy or a few KT).  The discussion here is based upon a nuclear detonation of 1 MT. 

 
 Yield

The destructive power of a nuclear weapon, when compared to the same amount of energy produced by TNT is defined as the ‘yield’ of the nuclear weapon. A 20-kiloton (KT) weapon, such as was detonated over Japan in World War II was equivalent in energy yield to 20,000 tons of TNT.  A 1-MT yield weapon is equivalent to 1 million tons of TNT. 

Types of Nuclear Weapons

Nuclear Weapons are much smaller in volume and mass than conventional weapons.  But nuclear detonation produce energy release thousands of times greater and over a shorter time period (chemical explosion – milliseconds, nuclear explosions – microseconds). The energy from a nuclear detonation can result from two basic nuclear processes—nuclear fission and nuclear fusion. 

The first nuclear weapons were only fission devices made from either uranium-235 (a relatively scarce isotope of uranium), or from a man-made isotope of plutonium, namely Plutonium-239. 

When certain isotopes of uranium or plutonium (U-235 or Pu-239 or fissile isotopes) are bombarded with neutrons, the nucleus of these isotopes can split apart (fission) releasing about 200 million electron volts of energy.  This energy release is about a 100 million times greater than the burning (oxidation) of a carbon atom in a fossil fuel.  Furthermore, during the fission process additional neutrons are released (typically two or more) and these neutrons can fission other fissile isotopes. This process if carefully designed can lead to a rapidly increasing chain reaction releasing a great amount of energy before the remaining fissile material is blown apart by the rapid increase of energy. Indeed, the essential design feature in the design of an effective nuclear weapon is containing the fissile material together for sufficient time to liberate the energy yield desired. 

The fusion and fission reactions produce energy in different ways.  Fusion occurs when two light isotopes (usually deuterium and tritium – heavy isotopes of hydrogen) at very high temperatures and pressures, unite and form a heavier isotope (usually helium). A fission reaction can produce both the high temperature and high radiation pressure required for fusion to occur and so in the design of all fusion weapons (often called thermonuclear systems) a primary fission reaction is used to initiate the secondary fusion reaction. One pound of the hydrogen isotope can release as much energy as is found in 26,000 tons of TNT.

 During the fusion process, high-energy neutrons are also liberated as in fission. These high-energy neutrons can cause a fission reaction in the abundant isotope, uranium-238. Some large yield, thermonuclear weapons use this fission-fusion-fission process.

Types of Bursts

Phenomena from weapons effects vary with the type of burst. The desired effects to be maximized dictate the burst type. The burst types fall into four basic categories:

 ·         Surface Burst

·         Air Burst
·         High Altitude Burst

·         Subsurface & Underwater Bursts

 Surface bursts maximize the reach of high overpressures and would most probably be used against hardened strategic targets such as missile launch control centers, harbors and submarine pens, and large airports. Destruction of ICBM silos, and deep underground shelters require ground bursts of 300 KT and greater. Ground bursts are also indicated if a planner wishes to maximize residual fallout radiation.

 An airburst is defined as an explosion that occurs below 100,000 feet elevation, but high enough so that the fireball of this explosion does not reach the surface of the earth. Airbursts extend the range of lower overpressures. Maximum blast damage of soft targets (such as cities) would occur from airbursts of MT yield weapons. Smaller yield air bursts exploded at optimum height of burst give more targeting flexibility in destroying important targets in a large city while allowing collateral damage to be held to a minimum. 

Bursts occurring above 100,000 feet elevation are defined as ‘high-altitude bursts’.  High altitude bursts are designed to cause an electro-magnetic pulse (EMP).  These high altitude radiations interact with the atmosphere and cause rapid EM changes and ionization, which seriously effect radio and radar signals and other critical electrical power dependent equipment. 

Most of the shock energy in underground or underwater detonations is contained below the surface. Much of the thermal and nuclear radiation is absorbed within a short distance of the explosion, contaminating the earth or water with radioactive fission products. 

Subsurface bursts are generally used during testing to minimize radiation fallout, or in wartime by means of burrowing missiles, which penetrate below the surface to destroy underground facilities. 

Thermal Radiation Exposure

Within less than a millionth of a second of the detonation, large amounts of energy in the form of invisible x-rays are absorbed within just a few meters of the atmosphere.  This leads to the formation of an extremely hot and luminous ionized mass called the fireball or plasma.  Even at a distance of 50 miles from a 1 MT burst, this fireball would appear as many times the brightness of the noonday sun.

The heat from the fireball is emitted in the form of thermal radiation or EM in the ultra violet, visible, and Infrared range.  The EM pulse travels at the speed of light and can persist up to several seconds, depending on the yield of the weapon, local clouds, and the height of the burst.  The thermal pulse from a 1-MT weapon lasts about 8 seconds.  If we were far enough away from the blast, and could drop and cover quickly, we would minimize the burns caused by this pulse.  At 8 miles from the detonation, only minimal structural damage takes place, but flash burns caused by the thermal pulse at that distance would cause severe burns if people were unprotected. Every effort should be made to limit exposure time. ‘Drop and cover’ is still a wise exercise to practice during a nuclear attack. 

Thermal Radiation Burns

Skin burns are classified as 1st, 2nd and 3rd degree. Third degree burns can occur out to 8.5 miles from a 1-MT burst. 

Second-degree burns occur at about the same range as the 1.4-psi overpressure level, which is about 10 miles from ground zero for a 1-MT airburst.  First-degree burns can occur from 10 to 12 miles from ground zero. Evasive actions are required in order to limit harm.

Evasive Actions

Much burn injury from large yield weapons can be avoided in the low overpressure area (1 psi to 2 psi), if protective shielding is found in the first seconds. The evasive action of ‘drop and cover’ should again be taught and exercised.

If there is any warning of incoming missiles, the best available shelter should be taken. Ditches, culverts, basements, or large structures would provide some shielding against the thermal pulse.

Materials inside rooms of buildings (such as curtains, upholstery, or papers) could be ignited by the thermal pulse of a nuclear blast. If sheltering in the home, efforts must be taken to extinguish fires that may be ignited in the home.

In areas of overpressure less than 2 psi, many residences will remain intact. Test results suggested that if there is adequate warning time, light colored drapes should be closed to shield upholstered furniture and beds from the thermal pulse, and electricity and gas should be turned off to avoid secondary fires. 

Experience has shown that ignition, such as would occur in upholstery, might remain smoldering and later rekindled. It is advisable to check for primary fires after the initial blast and then to check again after 15 minutes in order to extinguish any secondary fires that may be rekindled. Fire extinguishers should be supplied in your sheltered area for this purpose. 

Care should be taken never to look at the fireball. Because of the focusing action of the eye lens, the eyes can be temporarily or permanently injured and blinding may occur. 

Underground shelters will give total protection from the thermal pulse.  Of course, this requires an effective warning system to know when to enter the shelter. 

f there is an escalating crisis we should enter our shelters and remain there.  It is more probable, however, that a nuclear attack would come as a surprise–particularly from a terrorist attack.   The only initial warning may come from the electro-magnetic pulse. 

EMP Cause

All nuclear explosives induce sudden electrical currents and voltages, which can damage or destroy unprotected electrical and solid-state electronic equipment within line-of-sight of the explosion. The size of the area affected by an EMP increases with the height of the burst.  In a nuclear explosion 50 miles above the ground, the affected area on the earth will have a radius of about 600 miles.  A high altitude EMP (HEMP) from a nuclear explosion detonated at an altitude of 200 miles could produce a rapid electrical energy pulse on the order of 60,000 volts per square meter and could affect and even disable equipment within the entire continental United States.   Smaller EMP pulses produced at lower altitudes could cause cascading failures in an already stressed electric power infrastructure (transmission lines, transformers, etc) and also telecommunications. 

The affects of this type of weapon would not pose an immediate danger to people.  However, it could damage satellites, and computerized ignitions in automobiles disrupt telephone and radio communications, destroy navigational aids and computers, and would most probably cause electrical power distribution to be lost for many months.  Transportation would be paralyzed, food refrigeration and distribution would cease and water purification and sewer systems might fail. Financial institutions, hospitals, trade and production of goods and services would cease functioning.  Key infrastructures and utilities are interdependent and very vulnerable to electrical power interruption.  A recent report to the Congress stated “an EMP could have irreversible affects on our country’s ability to recover”. (Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack; Volume 1: Executive Report 2004).

Terrorist countries and their organizations understand our vulnerability and could use relatively unsophisticated missiles armed with nuclear weapons to produce a high altitude EMP (HEMP). 

Many nuclear strategists believe that if our country were attacked in a limited exchange or full-scale nuclear war, the attack would be initiated with a high altitude EMP to disable telecommunications. If this weapon were deployed by a satellite, we would likely have no warning before the explosion occurred.  Immediately after the HEMP, missiles would be launched against targets in the United States. 

Every occurrence of sudden power failure should be viewed as possibly having been caused by a high altitude nuclear explosion.   Certain simple tests will quickly reveal an EMP verses power loss from a natural cause. 

EMP Detection     

If an electrical power drop is detected, immediately check a corded phone to see if the telephones are functioning.  If there is no dial tone, you should do a second test using a battery-powered radio.  Approximately 5% of the radio stations in the United States have been hardened against EMP and could continue transmitting.  However, if you are unable to access several radio stations that normally transmit in your area, you should take shelter immediately.  Contact radio stations within your area to locate frequencies that may continue to transmit during this kind of an emergency. 

A simple power drop alarm can be constructed in the event the EMP was to occur while you are sleeping.  Ask a certified electrician to construct such an alarm using a relay switch, a 12-volt gel-cell battery, and a horn.  However, no solid-state electronics should be employed in the construction of this alarm. 

Protection of Equipment

During an escalating crises and when not in use, all sensitive equipment should be unplugged from the wall outlets.  Power cords should be wound into a coil.  Wherever possible, electronic equipment should be stored in an encompassing metal cage called a ‘Faraday cage’.  Metal garbage cans with tight fitting lids make good Faraday cages.  Insulate your equipment with toweling or cardboard before placing it into the can.  It is not necessary or even advisable to ground the can.  As a further precaution, fold metal screening material over the lip of the can before closing the lid to assure tight metal-to-metal contact. Do not place the can directly on a concrete floor. 

Ammunition boxes make good Faraday cages.  Remove any gasket material from the lid and sand the painted areas where the lid fits to the body of the can.  Do not store the can on metal shelves, which contact a concrete floor. 

Microwave ovens (not plugged in to an outlet) also make good Faraday cages.

Radios should not be attached to any antenna longer than 30 inches.  Remove all removable antennas and push all retractable antennas to the shortest possible length. 

Blast Effect and Over-pressure

In a 1 MT yield weapon, 10 seconds after the blast, the fireball is over a mile wide. In one minute it has grown to 4 1/2 miles from the point of burst. 

At the same time the fireball is forming and growing, a high-pressure wave develops and moves outward from the fireball. This blast wave is a moving wall of highly compressed air called a shock wave. In 10 seconds the blast wave has traveled 3 miles. In 50 seconds, it has traveled 12 miles and is then moving at slightly greater than the speed of sound (1000 feet per second).

We measure this pressure in pounds per square inch (psi). Normal ambient atmospheric pressure is about 15 psi. Any pressure over and above this level is considered to be ‘over-pressure’. 

Many unsheltered people can withstand and survive this shock wave and blast effect if they are outside the 5-mile radius of the detonation. 

Dynamic Effect

High velocity winds are associated with the blast effect, and the effects from the wind blast must be added to the effects of over-pressure. This effect is called the dynamic pressure. Dynamic pressure is proportional to the square of the wind velocity and the density of the air behind the shock front. 

Divers experience about l0 psi of over-pressure at a 23-foot depth and 20 psi at a 45-foot depth. If acclimatization to the pressure increase has been gradual, no ill effects will be experienced even though the pressure differential seems amazingly large.  Over-pressures experienced in a blast, however, are complicated by the sudden dynamic (blast wind) effect. 

A 20-psi over-pressure is associated with a wind velocity of 500 mph and without proper shelter; over-pressures of this strength cannot be survived. Injuries at over-pressures under 20 psi are due almost entirely to this dynamic effect. Blast winds at even 1-psi over-pressure can cause injury from flying glass fragments and other small sharp objects. 

The over-pressure from a 1-MT weapon at 4 miles is approximately 5 psi and the wind velocity is about 160 mph. At this distance it is generally believed people could survive outside a hardened blast shelter if they can find adequate sheltering which would give protection from the blast wind. Structures such as culverts, ditches, tunnels, caves, mines and basements could give adequate protection at this over-pressure level if the occupants were protected from falling debris. At over-pressures over 5-psi, however, a residential basement would not provide adequate blast protection. A discussion of expedient shelters is given in another lesson.

Many thousands of people live and work in areas considered by planners to be under the 5-psi over-pressure range, and would be saved if they can seek shelter in their basements. 

Radiation Effect and Fallout

Radiation is the most far reaching of all the weapons effects.  If the fireball of the weapon touches the ground, the blast is defined as a ground burst. In a ground burst, rock, soil, and other material in the area will be vaporized and taken up into the cloud.  Strong winds cause dust, dirt, and other particles to be sucked up into the fireball as well.  All of this debris is then mingled with fission products and radioactive residues and becomes radioactive itself.  As it cools, the debris falls from the cloud onto the ground. This material is what we call radioactive fallout.  It has been estimated that for every ton of yield, an equivalent one-half to one ton of matter is vaporized into the fireball.  In a one megaton explosion, there could be as much as 500,000 to l million tons of dirt and debris taken into the fireball, which will later fall to the ground as radioactive fallout. 

Protection From Fallout

Time – Radiation diminishes with time in a process called radioactive decay.  Each radioactive isotope has a unique ‘half-life’.  This is defined as the time required for the radioactivity of that isotope to diminish (or decay) to one half of its original value. The passage of 10 half lives for a given radioactive material reduces its activity by a factor of 1000. 

During the fission process in a nuclear detonation, hundreds of isotopes with different decay patterns are produced.  It has been found that the average decay rate for these radioactive products can be estimated with the 7 / 10 rule.  Simply stated, this rule states that for every seven-fold increase in time after detonation, there is a ten-fold decrease in the radiation exposure level. 

7/10 RULE – To estimate radiation levels from fallout by this rule, at 7 hours after the detonation, the level of radiation would be expected to be 1/10th of the original level.  At seven times seven hours (49 hours or about 2 days), the level would be 1/100th of the original level.   At seven times 2 days (or two weeks) the level would be 1/1000th of the original level. 

Distance – Radiation levels diminish with distance as well as time.  In a localized event, everyone within the area of radioactive fallout should find shelter or evacuate and move as far as possible from the location of the radioactive material. 

Shielding – Shielding also decreases (attenuates) radiation levels.  Four inches of soil will attenuate half of the gamma radiation from fallout.  This is called the ‘half-value’ thickness for shielding.  One ‘half value’ thickness gives a protection factor (PF) of 2. This rule is multiplicative.  A total of 8 inches of soil will provide additional reduction, or a PF of (2 x 2)=4.  Four more inches (a total of 12 inches of soil) will provide 3 halving thicknesses, or a PF of (2 x 2 x 2)=8.  The half value thickness for concrete is about 3 inches.  Ten layers of the halving thickness for any shield provide a protection factor of over 1000. 

Alpha Radiation

Alpha particles have a range of about 2 inches in air, and are completely stopped by the outside layers of the skin.  Therefore, alpha particles are not an external hazard.  However, they can do considerable damage internally. So it is essential not to breathe in or ingest alpha contaminated materials. Ventilation systems in fallout shelters should be fitted with filters to remove these materials from the breathable air. 

Beta Radiation

Energetic electrons (called Beta Particles) have a range of up to 12 feet.  Most fission products are beta emitters.  Beta radiation poses a small external hazard if the fission products in the fallout come into actual contact with the skin and remains there for an appreciable time.  This contact may result in a skin burn referred to as “beta burn”, which causes damage similar to sunburn.  Fallout should be brushed and/or washed from the hair and skin as soon as possible. 

Beta emitters cause considerable damage if they enter the body.  Alpha and Beta particles in fallout can enter the body through the digestive tract (through consumption of contaminated food and water), through the lungs, (by breathing contaminated air), or through wounds. 

Some radioactive elements tend to concentrate in specific organs in the body. The body cannot distinguish between the stable chemical element and the radioactive isotope of that chemical element.  Radioactive strontium and barium are similar in chemical nature to stable calcium and may be deposited in the bones. 

Care should be taken not to eat food, which has been contaminated with radioactive materials.  If the food has been carefully washed, however, it can safely be eaten.  Potatoes and carrots can be peeled; apples and other hard skinned fruits and vegetables can be washed clean of surface contamination.  Soft foods, such as strawberries, lettuce, bread, and such are not easily decontaminated and should be discarded unless they are known to be uncontaminated.  Canned food containers should be washed before opening. 

Animals, which have been exposed to radiation, may have significant levels of strontium and barium in fur and in their bodies.  These animals, if healthy appearing, may be slaughtered and eaten, if the bones and organs are discarded before the meat is cooked.

Iodine-131 generally poses the largest threat to humans because iodine chemicals are deposited in the thyroid.  Iodine can enter shelters in a gaseous form.  Ventilation systems must have good high efficiency filters to filter this radioactive element from the breathable air.

Thyroid blocking agents (TBA) are available commercially.  They are inexpensive and have a long shelf life.  TBA consists of iodine in the form of potassium iodide or iodate.  The thyroid fills with the healthy iodide and the radioactive iodine is then removed biologically from the body.  Regular iodine is poisonous and should not be taken internally.  Use only the commercial TBA at its recommended dosages.

TBA agents have an extremely bitter taste and will need to be consumed with other foods in order to cover the taste.  Children, in particular, will find the TBA to be distasteful.  The tablet form of TBA is more easily consumed than the liquid from the crystalline form. 

Iodine 131 has a half-life of 8 days and will be a threat for 10 half-lives, or approximately 3 months.  Enough thyroid-blocking agent should be stored for each person in the shelter for a 3-month period.  If there is no warning of an attack, TBA should be taken as soon as possible after a nuclear attack.  However, TBA is a strong medicine that has some undesirable side affects.  It should not be taken unless a nuclear attack has occurred or is believed to be eminent. TBA should be left in its originally packaging whenever possible until needed. 

Gamma Radiation

Gamma radiation is highly penetrating electromagnetic radiation and poses a sustained exposure threat for the first 2 weeks after a ground burst.  Gamma radiation is measured in Roentgens.  In a full-scale nuclear attack, over a two-week period, the accumulated radiation dose in some areas can be several thousand Roentgens. 

Gamma Radiation is reduced or attenuated by limiting time near the gamma source, distance from the source, and shielding (placing material mass between you and the source).  If whole body exposure is limited to less than 175 Roentgens, no medical care should be needed and there will be few if any anticipated deaths.  To attenuate the exposure anticipated in a full-scale nuclear attack to this level, a minimum radiation protection factor of 40 would be required. 

If at any time the dose rate exceeds 10 Roentgens per hour, the total exposure will exceed the 175 Roentgen level.  (Note that the value of 1 Roentgen is equivalent to about 1 rad or 1 rem). 

TABLE – RADIATION PENALTY TABLE

Acute Effects	Accum. Exposure 1 Week	Accum. Exposure 1 Month	Accum. Exposure 4 Months
Medical Care Not Needed	150 Roentgens	200 Roentgens	300 Roentgens
Some Need Medical Care Few if Any Deaths	250 Roentgens	350 Roentgens	500 Roentgens
Most Need Medical Care 50% + may die	450 Roentgens	600 Roentgens	600 Roentgens
Lethal Dose	600 Roentgens

The accumulated exposure should not exceed those in the first row.  

If radiation levels reach 10/R/hr in the sheltered area, the doses in the first row will probably be exceeded.   

In this eventuality, the shielding in the sheltered area should be increased.  

In a full scale attack, about 35% of our population would be expected to exceed the above doses. 

EXPOSURE AT 30 MILES DOWNWIND (500 KT surface burst, 15 mph wind)

Time	In Open	In Shelter PF 15	In Shelter PF 40
1 Week	3450 Roentgens	230 Roentgens	86 Roentgens
1 Month	4100 Roentgens	273 Roentgens	103 Roentgens
4 Months	4500 Roentgens	300 Roentgens	113 Roentgens

Initial Radiation

Initial radiation exposure is considered to take place in about the first minute after the nuclear explosion.  

During the fission and fusion process, high-energy neutrons, x-rays and gamma rays are expelled from the fireball.

The threat of this initial radiation exposure from the nuclear explosion is confined to a radius of about 1.5 miles from ground zero. 

A very small percentage of the surviving unprotected population would be within range of this initial radiation.  

The blast and thermal effects would be fatal within this radius for unsheltered people.  

However, in a hardened blast and radiation shelter, people could survive all nuclear weapons effects, including initial radiation, at distances of 1/2 mile or more from ground zero. 

In the absence of a hardened shelter, any practical, available, expedient shelter should be utilized, since some shielding protection is offered from blast, thermal heating, and nuclear radiation.
See...not so complex. 

Given the current nuclear threat, Americans need to learn again what they once knew for how to counter the effects of nuclear weapons.

The first step is learning what it is...as above.

Local Farm Markets to Deal with Food Shortages

"Owned and operated by Eli and Misty Cook. One of the main reasons I just moved to West Virginia was to be close to ample food supplies. For a variety of reasons, I saw what was coming several years ago. Food shortages are coming. Know where your local farm market is to make sure you and your family have plentiful and nutritious food..Located in Augusta, WV. Produce grown straight from the foothills of the Appalachian Mountains.Irrigated from the cool springs that flow through the valleys of Spring Valley Farm. Spring Valley Farm and Orchard is 800 acres of diversified fruits and vegetables. Hope you enjoy our products. Thanks and God Bless, Eli and Misty Cook, Augusta, WV 26704, 304 496 7788" From the Spring Valley Farm and Orchard Eli & Misty's Apple Cider.
The Current American Food Shortage

Never did I think American mother's would not be able to get baby formula for their babies, although this may not be a bad thing. Maybe it will wake American parents up to how they need to prepare for their children's survival in an unusual time.

Mother's breast milk is a miracle. It provides babies with strength, comfort, growth, immunity from germs, viruses, and bacteria...and so much more. Goat's milk is the next best for nutrition and immunity, and then cows milk.

This country was built on cheap energy (coal, nuclear, natural gas, fossil fuels) and cheap food. Those days are over. Prepare for the new reality. Never in a million years did I think I would be seriously talking about food shortages in the United States of America, but given the war on fossil fuels, here we are. For those who still doubt we are in a critical time feeding our families, I recommend you read this article from the Army Times.  Army families have not had the dual assaults of hyperinflation, high interest rates, supply line interruptions, poverty, and incompetent national leadership since after the oil shocks of the 1970's.

Here is a sample of the financial and other difficulties military members are facing.

"We spend $200 a week on gas driving to work, medical appointments, school and sports. We now shop exclusively at the commissary although the shelves are often empty due to supply issues,” she said.
“We would like another child but we just can’t see how we could afford it. We are very stressed out about finances and something needs to change quickly,” said the officer, an O4.
“My husband and I say often, ‘We’ve never earned so much but felt so poor.’ "
Those who responded all cited food and gas prices as a top concern, and there are plenty of ripple effects."

Secondary Disasters are Coming on top of the Hyperinflation Disaster

With this food shortage manmade disaster, understand that there are secondary's. 

When a manmade disaster hits, as with this hyperinflation and food shortages, natural disasters and other secondary disasters will happen. It is a weird synchronicity. As we are in hurricane season, a Hurricane Agnes disaster can come on top of this hyperinflation and food shortages and would be an example of a secondary.Keep in mind that The American Civil Defense Association, the charity for whom I am a volunteer vice president and for whom I write articles for the Journal of Civil Defense

Search our decades of the Journal of Civil Defense to gain deep civil defense knowledge to survive the coming events. You can also find material to help your efforts at our Survival Store.

Tacda.org has so many resources to help you and your family. Please visit our website and use them.

Reminder: As always, remember the fundamentals:

1. Grow your own food.
2. Build.
3. Stay close to your family and friends as you will need them.

If you cannot grow your own food, at least identify your nearest farm market. Fortunately, the Spring Valley Farm Market is down the road from us. They are a small family owned farm that produces a large amount of food for other Americans.

Baby formula, as it is processed and manufactured in a factory, should be the last choice. 

Remember: Food from the farm, good. Food from the factory, usually bad. 

Impact of the War on Fossil Fuels on Cost to Farmers

Due to the war on fossil fuels, the food shortages will only get worse. I offer the example of my brother in law and his orchard as an example. Multiply his experience by millions of others of changes that are happening and you will have a fair analysis of the chaos coming.

He owns an orchard. It is a small family-run orchard. 

He could not afford fertilizer this year as the cost quadrupled. He could not afford sprays as the cost tripled. He could not afford diesel fuels as the cost doubled.

All of these inputs are necessary for him to produce apples, peaches, cherries, plums, corn, potatoes, asparagus, and other foods that feed Americans.

He and his family will be fine as they grow all they need on their orchard. As he says, "The government can collapse and all it means to me is I pay less taxes."

But you will not be fine. You will pay far more for what he is growing. And you will pay even more for what is passed through the middle man that you buy at the grocery, big box, and convenience store.

Study history. The Great Depression in the United States was preceded by a farmers Great Depression for ten years before it hit the rest of the American people.

Time spans for impact from farm to family are far shorter these days.

Get to Know Where your Local Farm Market is and Learn to Shop there Now

For this reason I moved to West Virginia from Maryland to be within one to five miles of food for my family within a few miles of my Almost Heaven.

From my house, I can now buy eggs from 12 farms, fruits and vegetables from 4 farm markets, meats, chicken, milk and more from the Mennonites, Amish and other American farmers. 
I live in a cornucopia of agricultural wealth and I thank God for bringing my family here when the chaos hits.

If you are in a rural area like me there are farmer's markets everywhere.

If you are in the suburbs, you are within driving distance of farmers markets.

If you are in the city, well...

There is a HUGE homesteading movement going on in this nation. 

It gives me great hope we will survive and triumph despite the Communist Chinese Party (CCP) buying off our top politicians to take us over without firing a shot. With the CCP buying up our farm land and agricultural processing industry.

I include photos of my local farm market to show you just how healthy, nutritious, and beautiful the fruit, vegetables, bread, milk, and other foods are in this wonderful local market.

Grow your own food.

Build.

We are in for a wild ride and you must protect your family.

And develop the skills that will be necessary to make sure your family will survive and prosper. TACDA.ORG can help you with that effort.

Grow...and stay close to your family and friends as you will need them.

And pray always.

Disaster Lessons from the Malibu Fire

Every disaster offers lessons, and the Malibu fire of November 8, 2018 offers many.

Robert Kerbeck has written the definitive study of those lessons in his book Malibu Burning: The Real Story Behind LA's Most Devastating Wildfire. 

Having lost our house to fire, I identify with most of the lessons he states, even if ours was an individual loss and his book follows the burn of over 1,000 residences.

Here are just some of the lessons he offers in his book.

Prepared Citizens can Save their Homes

According to Kerbeck, he had prepared for years for a fire as that was a regular natural disaster in Malibu, his hometown. He saved his home by having the means to keep it safe from fire, including sufficient water, a pump, and a chemical fire retardant, Phos-Chek.

"Over the years I'd acquired other gear: Masks, nozzles, a specialized wrench to access the hydrant at the top of our driveway, and a flame-retardant chemical called Phos-Chek." Page 3

You Are on Your Own

"A surfer buddy, Tim, once told me what gear to by for the inevitable wildfire. A lifelong local, Tim had also warned me that there would be no firefighters when the time came, that if I wanted to save my place I would need to stay and fight for it myself. Being from Philadelphia, I couldn't imagine firefighters not showing up. I wasn't sure I believed him, but it couldn't imagine firefighter not showing up. I wasn't sure I believed him, but it couldn't hurt to be prepared. He explained that the hydrant water would run out, so it was essential that I have a pump and my own water source." Page 2.

So many Americans are operate in disaster under the assumption that the government will rescue them in a disaster. This is not true.

Basically, you are on your own. Firefights choose what fires they will try to put out on their own. Sheriff's follow their superiors orders. The Federal Emergency Management Agency shows up weeks after the event.

Authorities Often Issue Contradictory Commands during a Disaster

In Chapter 9, Shelter in Place, Kerbeck explains how the fire chiefs and sheriff's were recommending that the students at Pepperdine University evacuate while the leadership of the school insisted the students shelter in place.

As you might imagine, these contradictory message resulted in many students driving away in their car fleeing the fire while others remained behind as the fire passed over them.

These contradictory messages happen in all natural disasters when the various layers of government (local, state, and federal) and agencies within each issue differing orders for what to do.

Firefighters Work for their Superiors, Not You

"The group laid out the hose and hooked it to the hydrant on the ocean side of the highway. The four-inch hose was heavy even without water, but once it was filled it required Ryder and six or seven others just to move it around. Simeon manned the nozzle and blasted the flames on the ocean side, putting most of them out. The men then focused on knocking down the fire on the land side. As they did, at least twenty engines drove past. Occasionally, they ran over the hoses in the middle of the highway but they never stopped. Finally, Ryder flagged one engine down. The captain in the passenger seat rolled down his window, flashed a thumbs up sign, and took off. The message was clear. the group of men - the Paradise Cove - were on their own." Page 123

Many other citizens of Malibu requested and begged firefighters to protect their homes from the spread of the fire. Kerbeck documents that in almost every case of this request, the firefighters refused to roll down a window and simply drove away.

As shocking as this behavior was for most citizens of Malibu, they do not understand that those firefighters follow the orders of their chiefs who told them not to engage in front line firefights but to avoid engaging until the fire passed.

Outside Emergency Workers do not Answer to You

"The LA County Sheriff's Department had set up roadblocks to prevent anyone from getting in or out of the city, but there were also roadblocks within the city. Ostensibly, they were resigned to keep looters out, but they also kept out resident who wanted to return to their neighborhood. The sheriff's didn't care if someone was a resident and had the ID to prove it. One elderly woman had heard a gas station was open in mid-Malibu. Anxious about being low on fuel, she went to fill up. On the way back she was stopped at a roadblock. She had to abandon her car and walk on foot past the checkpoint where she waited in the hopes that a neighbor could pick her up and drive her home. Fortunately, someone did."

"The sheriffs didn't seem to grasp that those who stayed behind had saved hundreds of homes, possibly even preventing the fir from moving into the eastern part of the city. They often acted like the locals were getting in their way, not appearing to appreciate the fact that most Malibuites had seen no first responders during the fire." Page 135

Some Citizens Rise to the Occasion

When the local and state politicians, fire fighters, law enforcement, and administrators provided no relief, the citizens in Malibu set up their own relief center with supplies for those left behind.

They called it the Point Dume Relief Center.

Relief supplies were brought in by boats from the ocean as the authorities had shut off all relief supplies by road.

"[Malibu City Manager Reva] Feldman seemed even to resent the presence of the volunteers at the Relief Center, Judy (Point Dume Relief Center Organizer) told me. With no help from the real government, community members had come together to create their own. The fire and its fallout quickly acquired a nickname. Locals called it the YOYO Fire, for You're on Your Own.

One week in, the city finally did send something.

Two Porta Potties." Page 138

The Citizens do not Rise to the Occasion

"My across-the-street neighbor lived in a forest of flammable trees, so it was no shock when his house burned to the ground. What surprised me was that afterwards he cut down every tree on his property, even the ones that hadn't burned. He learned his lesson, but many other homeowners stubbornly refuse to remove dangerous trees, claiming they create privacy and add value to their homes. But what's the value of a burned-down house?

By cleaning your brush, you give yourself, your neighbors, and the fire department a fighting chance. I wonder how many homeowners would remove their flammable trees if firefighters said they would no longer defend such properties." Page 225

Authorities do not Rise to the Occasion

"Experts I interviewed said the most important thing homeowners can do to mitigate the fire risk is to reduce the amount of available fuel. Yet more than six months after I begged members of the Malibu City Council to institute a flammable landscaping and materials ordinance, nothing has been done.

Living in California, for all its beauty and great weather, means being only a natural disaster away from living on the streets. Some people believe it was folly to build in Malibu in the first place, let alone to rebuild over and over...

To my knowledge, the city of Malibu hasn't instituted a single law to make Malibu more fire safe."  Page 225

Summary

There are many other lessons in Malibu Burning or human behavior when confronted by a natural disaster, a fire in this case. It offers deep analysis of what works and does not work. It is worth reading for the civil defense tactics and for how to deal with your families, neighbors, and the authorities.

Know Your Local Meat Market

Know your local farm market to overcome the looming food shortages. As well, know your local meat market.

In a local meat market, the meat is healthier, cleaner, and more nutritious. 

In truth, all the food products there are healthier. They do not have preservatives, chemicals, and other nonhealthy substances in them.

It has to be because the animal husbandry and farmers the meat store owners practice, often with a religious fervor (Amish, Mennonite, etc. yes, they answer to a Higher Authority).

Although they get no attention or credit, their farming, animal husbandry, and meat store ownership practices are genius.

What they do daily is far more important than the 24/7 coverage the legacy media feeds you about what matters.

More importantly, their meat products are vital for your health and your family's future survival.

In addition to meat, they sell poultry, milk, eggs, butter, apple juice, cheese, honey, and many other food basics you and your family need daily.

There are already, and there will be soon, serious manmade natural food disasters. I have never known anyone who has gone through a natural disaster who thought it would happen to them. 

Presently, 99% of American think food shortages only happen somewhere else, not in the United States.

Most American have no idea what hunger means, let alone famine. 

After all, given that medical and average obesity in the United States is our largest medical issue due to the abundant food supply due to our industrial production of food stuffs, you cannot blame Americans for believing the myth that our food supply will always be ample.

But changes are coming. Read your Bible, especially the Old Testament. Read Aesop's Fables. Read and learn the history of world civilization 

Recognize the local, regional, national, international, and geopolitical patterns you must know to protect your family.

I have been doing civil defense for over 40 years. Trust me, there are observable patterns that are evident to help you know what is coming. As a volunteer, I do this for free as I have for over 40 years. My only interest is spreading the Word to other Americans so they and their families are safe and healthy.

This food shortage is nothing new.And if you have never visited a local meat market, here are some photos of my local meat market to give you an idea of how clean and

complete such local meat markets are, as well as how sanitary, nutritious, and healthy their meat offerings are to your family's menu. 

And to their survival during the upcoming manmade food shortage disaster.

Survival Provisions are Abundant Now so Stock Up

Be Responsible as the Adult

Never be that Dad, Granddad, Mom or Grandma who, when your loved ones look at you and ask, "I'm hungry! Why don't we have food?" you have to say, "We don't have any Honey. I'm so sorry."

Instead, make sure you are able to say, "God has blessed us with abundance. Here, let me fix you something to eat and drink."

Learn how important civil defense is for children. The article in the Journal of Civil Defense can be downloaded here.

The Miracle of American Grocery Stores...Most Times

American grocery stores are miraculous. Use them now to stock up before the collapse and chaos.

Each contains hundreds of thousands of items vital to your everyday survival. The three day supply chain that keeps them fully stocked works like a machine most times...except when manmade disasters like the recent pandemic or natural disasters like hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods strike.

It took almost a year for the survival supplies, especially cleaners and paper products like toilet tissue, to restock, but they are in abundance now. Buy them.

Remember, often manmade and natural disasters often happen at the same time.

With an economic collapse due to rapidly escalating interest rates, you will still have tornadoes, hurricanes, fires, floods, earthquakes, riots, and other events. Best to get ready now while there is time.

Big Box Stores Empty First

In 2020, due to the Wuhan Flu panic, big box stores were under severe pressure to keep up with the demand for survival provisions.

Mass panic led to millions running into their grocery stores and clearing out the products until many shelves were empty. Especially hard hit were bottled water, baby formula, diapers, toilet paper, milk, meat, pasta, canned goods, cleaning supplies, medical supplies, vitamins, and many other items.

Big box stores were wiped out of survival supplies. Grocery stores were hit hard, but less hard than the big box stores.

I know this because I did weekly Periscope videos analyzing and showing what items were in short supply and where. Periscope was shut down but my knowledge of what happened during the Wuhan Communist Chinese Party bioweapon attack is still fresh in my memory, so I pass along my lessons learned here.

My analysis is that the big box stores like Costco were drained rapidly as hoarders favored those. 

Grocery Stores Empty Second

Grocery stores were the second level of the food supply chain that were hard hit. 

Essentials disappeared first. I can still see the shopping carts piled high with items as consumers went crazy purchasing anything they could get their hands on.

I remember talking to numerous grocery store managers who said items disappeared off the shelves as soon as they were put out. Worse, customers would drive around the back of the store to the unloading dock and try to grab items as they arrived.

So, yes there were real shortages, but the problem became far worse due to public hysteria.

Convenience Stores Empty Third

Convenience stores, especially those with a gas station (WaWa, Rutters, 711, Sheetz, and hundreds of others) are all over the country. Convenience stores were hit hard but resupplied faster.

Many people switched to convenience stores and shopped there when the big box stores and convenience stores were out of items. And they were willing to pay the higher price to get the item they wanted.

Dollar Stores were Hit Fourth

The final level to be hit during the Wuhan virus panic were dollar stores.

About 95% of what you need to survive can be found in a dollar store. Their business doubled during this panic. 

Dollar stores for the most part were able to maintain their supply chains, except for the usual toilet paper, milk, and baby food shortages that were experienced in the grocery and convenience stores as well.

Specialty Stores Empty Last

Specialty food stores like McCutchen's Apple Products, Wagner's Meats and Hahn's Pork and Beans were hit last.

Specialty stores were better off for two reasons:

• One, they create their own foods and are protected from the supply chain constraint.
• Two, because they rationed supplies sooner and thereby contained the hoarding that was so catastrophic at the big box and grocery stores.

Tip: Be a Provident Prepper

Prepare in the sense of Provident preparing...not hoarding. In other words, prepare under God's directions as written in the Bible.

For good guidelines for how to prepare, and what to purchase and store, see the Provident Prepper.

In my position as volunteer vice president of the American Civil Defense Association, I have known the family that runs this enterprise for 15 years. The mother has edited most of my 15 articles for the Journal of Civil Defense. 

As the Provident Prepper says so well: The definitions of the word provident include; making or indicative of timely preparation for the future, having or showing foresight, providing carefully for the future, providing for future needs or events, and exercising foresight in the management of one’s affairs or resources.

Buy your survival products now that they are easily available. Stock up on your emergency supplies while they are abundant.

Obviously, perishable foods like those in these photos are not for long-term stocking or storage in your survival supplies.

But they are critical for your health and building your immunity that ARE critical to your long-term survival. Purchase and eat fruits and vegetables that are vital to your robust health and strong immune system. 

The Wuhan Flu is not the first manmade disaster to hit us, nor will it be the last. Natural disasters and manmade disasters strike everyday.

Prepare for them now to be able to survive them tomorrow.

Do not be a panicked hoarder when the next disaster strikes. Instead, be a provident prepper.

When I was in college I tutored Vietnamese and Cambodian "Boat People." I took them to grocery stores and introduced them to the abundance of our food production, storage, and sales. I can still see their wide eyes as they viewed what was fantasy in their homeland.

After college, I tutored Russian Jewish emigres. I saw the same look in their eyes. Having come from the communist Soviet Union, the many choices on the American grocery store shelves were overwhelming for them. 

As they were used to standing in line for basics in the Soviet Union for meagre or non-existent provisions, the super abundance of the average American grocery stores was hard for them to manage.

Appreciate your blessings in the food that is abundant now. Store up your provisions in prayer and in practical items you and your family need to survive.

I write this with a heavy heart knowing that most Americans will ignore what I am saying. In some ways, I am like the doctor who tells their patients over and over to lose weight to reduce their medical issues. 

I have been educating Americans for 40 years about civil defense tasks and ways to reduce the loss of life and damage to property due to manmade and natural disasters.

How many Americans actually prepare for disasters? My estimate is 1%. So many have this misguided belief that "the government" will save them in the event they face a disaster. I have a tip for you if you think that: You are on your own! 

Be the 1% who are prepared and who has prepared their family for future disasters. Do not be that guy in the Ninth ward of New Orleans after hurricane Katrina struck saying to the media day after day, "Where's FEMA!? Where's FEMA?! Where's THE MAN!!!

The man is not coming to save you. FEMA arrives weeks and months later and mainly writes checks for those who can prove they had property destroyed and who do not have private insurance to cover them.

Remember: Survival provisions are widely available in America NOW. It is one of the reasons we are the envy of the world. 

Do your part by securing the items you need for you, your family, and some extra for your neighbors who do not prepare.

God is good and provides mightily for our needs. 

Honor Him by doing your duty by purchasing, storing, and maintaining what you need to build up God's Kingdom on his Holy Earth...NOW!

Civilian Response to Active Shooter

You can respond correctly, quickly, and efficiently to an active shooter.

By doing so, you can live to see another day and go home to your loved ones.
Americans are responding to the challenge of meeting and defeating these murderers.
Enough active shootings have taken place we know how to take steps to live and avoid steps to die.
I can't cover everything in a blog post, nor can survival be taught in a three hour class. 

It is a mind set that must be exercised every day.
That said, with training, you can survive a mass murder event.

Expert Advice Here and Here.
Anglican Pastor: Why I Pack a Pistol for my Parish

Response to an Active Shooter Training

Recently, I went to a three-hour Response to an Active Shooter training at Calvary United Methodist Church in Mt. Airy, MD.
I have attended similar training at the Emergency Operations Center in Westminster, MD, at my church St. Michael's in Poplar Springs, MD, at the Mt. Airy Volunteer Fire Company and at several other venues.
One was for the librarians in Howard County. Two hundred of them were taught how to respond to an active shooter murderer if they came into the library and started shooting. 

So, training for how to avoid and respond to these murderers is gathering steam.
I started doing research on active shooters and active shootings when a hoax one was called into my son's then high school. 

You can read about it here.

Civilian Response to Active Shooter Events (CRASE)

Maryland State Police First Sergeant Jon Hill was the instructor for the Civilian Response to Active Shooter Events (CRASE).
He emphasized that it takes, on average, three minutes for the police to arrive at an active shooting. (The police arrived in one minute to the Capital Gazette shooting...but the murderer was still able to kill 5 in that minute.)
So Sgt. Hill taught a three hour class class on what to do, and what not to do, in that three minutes.
He explained that you must be ready for the 3-minutes BEFORE the police arrive.
In a word...if you cannot flee...have a plan to bum rush the mass murderer.
As he said, if the biggest, meanest Navy Seal stood in the middle of the gym where the class was held, and if the 340 people in attendance picked up items, threw them at him bum rushed him...numbers favor even the unarmed.
This is a concept I heard years ago from an Israeli intel guy. 

He was shocked how, back then, American children were being taught in public schools to hide and stay quiet.
When a mass murderer burst into an Israeli school, the children were taught to pick up items and throw them at them and take them out.
I'll leave it to you to figure out which approach saves more children's lives.
I include the one-page program below. It is brief but loaded with resources. 

Staying Alive and The Unthinkable are both excellent books on how to prepare.

CAT Tourniquet and Lightweight Armour Plating

Two of the most important items you can purchase to survive are a CAT Tourniquet and Lightweight Amour plating for your (and your children's) backpack(s) or briefcase(s).
Note the CAT Tourniquet and Chest Seal medical kit recommendation at the bottom of the the one-page training sheet above.
They know and I know that CAT Tourniquet's save lives.
The best ones have been tested in Afghanistan and Iraq/Syria and are made and sold by North American Rescue.
CAT Tourniquet's should be in your everyday carry (EDC) kit.
Keep one in your car, too.
So many lives have been saved due to a tourniquet being applied and therefore, the person has not bled out and died.
Don't listen to the dolts who say, "Oh, you just need a belt." Get a CAT.
Lightweight Armour plating is available for your backpack or briefcase. 

You can stand behind it and use it as a protective barrier when you rush the active shooter (murderer). 

CRYE Precision in Brooklyn, NY makes a good one that I use.

Act FAST to Save Your Life

I am alive today because in a variety of situations where others tried to kill me I acted...fast.
From getting jumped by gangs for my paper route collection money in grade school to being attacked by 15 criminals with baseball bats while a crowd of 40 cheered them on in Georgetown, Washington DC to being jumped in Place Pigale in Paris by three guys with a knife to multiple other "situations" here and abroad, what saved my life was being aware that it was REAL.
People die or are injured everyday because they fail to realize that the situation is REAL.
Just look up the "knockout" game in YouTube for proof.
For example, when the gang in DC brought down the baseball bats on my head, through the blood and sweat I said "THIS IS REAL AND THEY WANT TO KILL ME!"
I grew up in North Philadelphia and had been jumped so I flashed back, in nanoseconds, to that reality as they kept assaulting me.
I made a quick and vital decision.
I saw my wife and son (then a toddler...now 33 with his own baby) in my mind's eye through all the blood, pain, and sweat.
For those first minutes, I said a quick prayer and then I went insane.

I used my forehead, fists, elbows, knees, feet, teeth and hips to strike back as they came in wave after wave. 

(I actually had to go for an AID's blood test a few days later as one of the criminal's teeth punctured my knuckle.)
As it was a gang, I was fortunate enough to take out their gang leader and the fight went out of them. 

I was also blessed that I had a brief case with twenty dollars in quarters for my wife to do laundry that night I was able to use to block their strikes, and an umbrella to strike back.
Pushing the remaining spokes of the umbrella into the face of their huge leader stopped his assault.
As a waiter in a restaurant when I visited with a detective a week later said, "You were that guy. We went out to help you but you had 14 of them down."
I'm aware it could have ended differently.
What is important here is not the details.
What is important is to know that the decision you take to not say, "This can't be happening!" but to say, "THIS IS REAL AND I HAVE TO FIGHT!" will make the difference as to whether you live or die in an active shooter (murder) "event" or "situation."
With Christ as my witness, I can testify that that is true.
Decide to live. 

Decide to fight back.
I got 56 stitches to my face and head that night. 

When the female doctor began to put the stitches in my head and face and I finally felt safe, I had an adrenaline dump and I felt like a freight train hit me. 

But I was alive.

Never Give Up

There are parallels to martial arts training in this country.
Not me, but there were instructors who used to teach women to submit to a rapist.
They argued back in the 1960's, mistakenly, that if the women submitted the rapist would go easy on them.
Experience and statistics eventually proved that view very, very wrong.
The rapist will harm and kill the woman anyway. 

They are not nice or reasonable that way.
When I teach women, I always taught them to use their full arsenal to defend themselves, and to NEVER EVER give up.
I tell you the same when it comes to an "active shooter" (mass murderer).
Use your full arsenal to defend yourself.
Decide now to do so.